All posts by Axonn Echysttas

Mentatul.

Kids and Screens

There’s been a lot of research in the past years regarding exposing children to screens (of various kinds). The “when and how much TV to watch” debate has been raging on for decades (with clear results but with even harder to apply rules, especially as a lot of people seem to not care about the facts).

However, the new screens available to children today, namely mobile phones, pads, portable game consoles and other such interactive entertainment devices are an order of magnitude more powerful when it comes to influencing brain development.

Alarm bells should start ringing when some of the most famous people dealing with technology try to protect their children from these sort of devices:

http://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/gadgets-and-tech/bill-gates-and-steve-jobs-raised-their-kids-tech-free-and-it-shouldve-been-a-red-flag-a8017136.html^

I’m young enough to have been influenced by handheld game consoles and I distinctly remember how my school performance and social skills suffered due to how enticed I was by these gizmos. I have worked with software during the past 20 years and I am in a good position to understand how it is built in order to capture minds^, both young and old. Here’s what Facebook’s first president had to say about “exploiting a vulnerability in human psychology”:

https://www.inc.com/jessica-stillman/facebooks-founding-president-on-stage-yesterday-we-created-a-monster.html^

But enough with the technology part. Here’s what psychologists have to say about all this:

http://www.somedaily.org/ipad-far-bigger-threat-children-anyone-realizes/^

Like I said in another article, parenting advice is a dime a dozen these days^. But this is not advice. This is presenting actual cold hard science and even colder and harder decisions that must be taken. In our family, we will politely prohibit (guide with kindness, offer healthy entertainment alternatives) our son from getting near these things at least until he’s five years old. We are also curtailing the use of such devices when he’s around. Being constantly online is mind poison anyway.

Update: And then, of course, there’s the Trojan horse aspect these devices pose. Privacy? What privacy?

[ax_meta lnimgurl=’http://mentatul.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/02558-KidsAndScreens-Thumb.jpg’ lnimgw=’250′ lnimgh=’250′ title=’Kids and Screens’ desc=’Alarm bells should start ringing when some of the most famous people dealing with technology try to protect their children from these sort of devices’]

Dub Fx – Love Someone

As much as I could possibly love the music here, the lyrics will always outshine it. And that’s saying quite a bit, because the music is excellent. This song spoils the listener with a feast of thumping percussion and sweeping, deep sound curtains. But the message is wise, powerful and important. You’ll need more than open ears to truly enjoy this sound. You’ll need an open mind.

Dub FX is an expert in creating electronica / drum’n’bass music using verbal sound effects. The video version of this song (which I’ve linked below) is made purely with verbal sound effects. The other versions feature a combination of verbal sound effects and synthetized textures. Both versions are amazing.

“It’s possible to love someone
And not treat them in the way that you want
It’s possible to see your eyes
Be the devil in disguise with another front
And, it’s possible to change this world
Revolutionize the boys and girls
It’s possible to educate
The next generation that will rule the world someday

[…]

Creating a world for the open minded
A unique perception of truth inside it
I know we could find it
It’s just a matter of where and when we collectively decide it
The world is not a vicious place
It’s just the way we’ve been raised”

You can listen to the melody for free, in good quality, on BandCamp, which is one of the best websites when it comes to supporting artists. You can also purchase the song (or album) from this same location. And in case you’re wondering, yes, I did purchase Dub Fx’s album :).

http://music.dubfx.com/track/love-someone^

YouTube (decent quality):

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UiInBOVHpO8^

For Spotify Users (high quality):

https://open.spotify.com/track/2iNc1WDSSQNjt2IkwVIfdV^

For Deezer Users (high quality):

http://www.deezer.com/track/123384880^

[ax_meta lnimgurl=’http://mentatul.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/02149-DubFxEverythinksARipple-Thumb.jpg’ lnimgw=’250′ lnimgh=’250′ title=’Dub Fx – Love Someone’ desc=’As much as I could possibly love the music here, the lyrics will always outshine it. And that's saying quite a bit, because the music is excellent.’]

Machine Learning and Our Future

Machine Learning is all the rage these days. Be it computer vision, speech recognition, pattern matching or high-speed decisional capabilities, this century is the century of software. Like all technological revolutions, there’s potential for miracles and catastrophes.

Large corporations have started to realize^ that Machine Learning is a way to prevent smaller competitors^ from threatening them. This is because small companies can’t (yet) afford the huge infrastructure and Big Data investments that ML requires. It’s not surprising then that Microsoft, Google, FaceBook and others have open-sourced ML platforms, trying to attract developers and smaller companies to their ecosystems.

This post will touch on but a few of the changes we can expect in the coming decades thanks to the upcoming advances in Machine Learning. Looking at our history, we can see how the industrial revolution has supercharged our progress as a species. I believe that the Machine Learning revolution will make the industrial revolution seem like a snail in slow motion. This is both hopeful and scary.

The purpose of any post in the Futurology^ category is to launch a wild, boundless speculation regarding what the future holds regarding a certain concept. To get things going, here are some of the things I imagine can be accomplished in the near future (coming decades) by Machine Learning. Feel free to submit your own ideas in the comments below. With your approval I may integrate these in the article, giving proper credit.

  • Speech recognition is already quite advanced. In the coming decade, most day-to-day electronic devices will understand what humans speak. Additionally, these devices will form an interconnected sensorial mesh via the Internet of Things. Privacy will obviously be a major concern.
  • Without any prior technical knowledge, people will soon be able to talk to the robots that are about to enter our daily lives, both indoors^ and outdoors^. Countless jobs will be transformed or outright eliminated. Companies will jump at the opportunity of cutting costs. While some of this will have beneficial effects on some (company stakeholders for example), society might be negatively impacted as there will be plenty of those that cannot find a new job in a world that is increasingly robotized. Hopefully at least a part of the next generation of superrich few will empathize with the disadvantaged many.
  • Advanced algorithms are already able to take better (and much faster) decisions than humans in some fields (for example management of traffic, energy and bandwidth). This capability will expand to more and more areas. This development should not be confused with True Artificial Intelligence^, but will still mean that yet more jobs will be given to automated systems. Here’s for example how Google used machine learning to save a massive 15%^ in data center costs.
  • Companies that own data infrastructure will become dangerously powerful. Just look at how FaceBook allowed^ Russia to interfere^ in one of the most influential electoral contests in the world. Given the narrow difference between the candidates, it is quite possible that Russia’s influence (of which only a small part will ever be uncovered) will have been a decisive factor.
  • Governmental oversight could prevent a lack of balance in society, but strong lobbying from powerful corporations will continue to corrupt the purpose of government (in most countries, our representatives have long ceased representing us, if they even ever did).
  • The influence of ML throughout the economy means that society will have to find ways to protect those that are at risk of being crushed under the weight of the coming changes. In a way reminiscent of the industrial revolution, entire job sectors will become obsolete overnight, except that this time around the changes will come even faster and affect more people. Fortunately, we are also wiser and richer than a century ago so we are well positioned to find constructive solutions.
  • We may enter a period where creatives (artists) will again be in high demand. At least until True A.I. is upon us, machines still can’t create art. No matter how advanced an algorithm may be, the art it creates will still be a soulless mixture of unoriginal and random.
  • We run the risk of falling under total surveillance, aka Super Big Brother. This is much worse than what George Orwell could have even imagined when he wrote his 1984 novel. Super Big Brother doesn’t need humans to listen-in to conversations. It simply records everything (this is already being done, as the Snowden leaks proved). Then, somebody (like an oppressive authority that seeks to exterminate dissent) asks it to find certain information in text, audio or video recordings. If we now think that we have little privacy left, Super Big Brother will make things exponentially worse. Update 2018-04-30: check how China is using facial recognition in Guiyang^.
  • However, all is not so bleak. If good people act, there is another invention that will shackle Super Big Brother. That invention is open surveillance. All systems used for surveillance shall be based on open source software. All people being surveilled will be able to access their information and know why it was recorded (you were in a public space, you were suspected of a crime, etc.).
  • Government will put privacy back in the hands of the people. Because government has to be the people. And because lies and secrets never truly saved the world (although perhaps they helped in postponing major conflicts without, however, fixing the underlying problems). It will be openness and communication that will be proven to be the only way forward if we are to survive.

The Futurology Disclaimer: I do not claim that my ideas are original. I’m sure these suggestions are just scratching the surface of what can be achieved, but hopefully they’ve scratched enough to get somebody inspired to come up with more. I’m also sure many of these ideas are already being worked on by several organizations. If any of the ideas listed by anybody on this page are original and will benefit any organization, I expect credit to be given where it’s due.

Version history:

2017-11-23 – 1.0 – Written.

2018-04-30 – 1.1 – Added link about Guiyang use of facial recognition.

[ax_meta lnimgurl=’http://mentatul.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/02534-MachineLearningAndOurFuture-Thumb.jpg’ lnimgw=’250′ lnimgh=’250′ title=’Machine Learning and Our Future’ desc=’Like all technological revolutions, there's potential for miracles and catastrophes.’]

The Polish Ambassador – Live Inside A Dream (feat. Ayla Nereo)

It starts airy and carefree but the melody doesn’t waste a second to make it clear that despite Ayla’s soothing voice, this is still a groovy electronica song. Call it psybient, call it tribal electronica, call it whatever you want, this is one solid creation.

Like all songs from The Polish Ambassador’s “Ecozoic” album, this one ends with an outro that is in the same time fitting and seems like it’s coming from another story. “Ecozoic” is a massive album that is filled to the brim with all manner of sound experiments.

“my sheets were cold tonight
had to leave them for a dying fire
burn up time for dreams
lovely soul, you’ve gone to sleep
silence empty house I cannot breathe
you’ve said too many nice things

can I keep spinning to your turns
can I just fall back in your open arms
and when you ask, I’ll always sing you a song
bout a girl who tried to live inside a dream
won’t you speak, she wants to hear all of it, everything
go to sleep, cause morning will come sooner than you think…”

You can listen to the melody for free, in good quality, on BandCamp, which is one of the best websites when it comes to supporting artists. You can also purchase the song (or album) from this same location. And in case you’re wondering, yes, I did purchase The Polish Ambassador’s album :).

https://thepolishambassador.bandcamp.com/track/live-inside-a-dream-ft-ayla-nereo^

YouTube (decent quality):

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LekKWbS-W3s^

For Spotify Users (high quality):

https://open.spotify.com/track/6fdx0cZd8FMiCtTwy1UwTY^

For Deezer Users (high quality):

http://www.deezer.com/track/68000114^

[ax_meta lnimgurl=’http://mentatul.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/02142-PolishAmbassadorEcozoic-Thumb.jpg’ lnimgw=’250′ lnimgh=’250′ title=’The Polish Ambassador – Live Inside A Dream (feat. Ayla Nereo)’ desc=’It starts airy and carefree but the melody doesn't waste a second to make it clear that despite Ayla's soothing voice, this is still a groovy electronica song.’]

Painful Facts about Pornography

When asked, “How do you know a guy likes you?,” an 8th grade girl replied: “He still wants to talk to you after you [give him oral sex].” A male high school student said to a girl: “If you [give me oral sex] I’ll give you a kiss.” Girls are expected to provide sex acts for tokens of affection, and are coached through it by porn-taught boys. A 15-year-old girl said she didn’t enjoy sex at all, but that getting it out of the way quickly was the only way her boyfriend would stop pressuring her and watch a movie.

This was a quote from the article below. The topic of pornography has been debated a gazillion times but there is now a renewed discussion in the light of what is quickly becoming a torrent of painful social studies. These findings keep popping up increasingly often. Through statistics and surveys, we keep finding a direct connection between pornography and dismal changes in the attitude men have towards women. Were women emancipated only to wake up in an age where their freedom is transformed in a choice of what sort of sex object they want to be?

http://fightthenewdrug.org/sex-before-kissing-15-year-old-girls-dealing-with-boys/^

To be clear: this is not to say that all erotic content is dangerous. There is also such a thing as ethical pornography and there are productions that go against the “macho” stereotype. However, this sort of production can’t really compete against a deluge of ego-worshipping, love-destructive porn.

The reason? We keep coming back at it: a lack of education in the most important elements of a happy life: empathy, connection, love. Instead, our industrialized educational system focuses on training kids to perform the work robots should help us with. It is no wonder that a lot of men easily drown in the sea of dick-glorifying deceitful imagery.

Learn more:

http://learn.ftnd.org/^

Update: also worth a read: Inside the Romanian Sex-Cam Industry^.

[ax_meta lnimgurl=’http://mentatul.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/02539-PainfulFactsPornography-Thumb.jpg’ lnimgw=’250′ lnimgh=’250′ title=’Painful Facts about Pornography’ desc=’Through statistics and surveys, we keep finding a direct connection between pornography and dismal changes in the attitude men have towards women.’]

Asura – El Hai

This is one intense piece of soul-blowing song. The ethereal mystic vocals, the hypnotic percussion and the melancholic strings are woven together into a noble flow that graces the beauty of existence upon the eardrum. It’s one of those melodies that I’d use to describe life without using words (as long as, like me, the listener doesn’t understand the lyrics). I’m curious if anybody can translate what she’s saying.

You can listen to the melody for free, in good quality, on BandCamp, which is one of the best websites when it comes to supporting artists. You can also purchase the song (or album) from this same location. And in case you’re wondering, yes, I did purchase Asura’s album :).

https://ultimae.bandcamp.com/track/el-hai-featuring-ayten^

YouTube (decent quality):

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=srcUpaNb2fY^

For Spotify Users (high quality):

https://open.spotify.com/track/6yEiiWULxtjkwfUENzqlXL^

For Deezer Users (high quality):

http://www.deezer.com/track/7428378^

[ax_meta lnimgurl=’http://mentatul.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/02138-Asura360-Thumb.jpg’ lnimgw=’250′ lnimgh=’250′ title=’Asura – El Hai’ desc=’The ethereal mystic vocals, the hypnotic percussion and the melancholic strings are woven together into a noble flow that graces the beauty of existence upon the eardrum.’]

Petrol Money Poison

One of the most unfortunate things that can happen to human beings is social disconnection. Depression often causes this. But in today’s article I’ll focus on wealth. A root cause of social disconnection due to wealth is when an unprepared individual attains great wealth. In this situation “unprepared” means not ready to emotionally and rationally adapt to a sudden change of situation. The moral compass of such individuals is vulnerable. In time, many of them end up behaving in ways that would seem unacceptable if they could ask their own younger selves.

Social disconnection also occurs in children born in a situation where vast wealth has already disconnected the entire immediate social group (friends & family) from the way “normal” people live. By “normal people” I mean the statistical average for the standard of living when looking at the entire planet. Children born in socially disconnected families (and this includes royalty) grow and develop using completely different life standards. They don’t even get to opt out of this until much later and sometimes never, something that will in the future probably be considered akin to abuse through deprivation of opportunity (similar to what children in poor, unstable families experience with parents that have a history of substance abuse).

In this post, I’m focusing on a certain social group: petrol-rich citizens from the Middle East. Here’s what that triggered me to write this piece, an article that tells about how Qatar’s billionaires have migrated to the richest areas of the most expensive city (property-wise) in Europe:

https://www.mansionglobal.com/articles/23432-qatari-quarter-emerges-in-london-s-posh-mayfair-neighborhood^

And here’s another interesting article^, which covers the recent Saudi crackdown on (supposedly) corrupt princes and business-men. Of important note here is the fact that the media has focused on arrested prince Al-Waleed bin Talal’s opulent lifestyle. He owns, for example, a yacht worth about $200 million. But here’s the kicker: the prince that is supposedly “draining the swamp” owns a $500 million^ yacht. As is often the case, the rules are oh-so flexible when it comes to what is a justified expense.

The resource curse^, also known as the paradox of plenty, refers to the paradox that countries with an abundance of natural resources (like fossil fuels and certain minerals), tend to have less economic growth, less democracy, and worse development outcomes than countries with fewer natural resources.

Have mercy upon those that have drank the petrol money poison and are wasting away caught in the worst trap of all: the ego trap.

[ax_meta lnimgurl=’http://mentatul.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/02545-PetrolMoneyPoison-Thumb.jpg’ lnimgw=’250′ lnimgh=’250′ title=’Petrol Money Poison’ desc=’A root cause of social disconnection due to wealth is when an unprepared individual attains great wealth.’]

Savoy – Cata (feat. LoBounce)

It’s like setting yourself on fire, but worse, ‘cause there are no flames to save you by melting your ear drums. Instead, the merciless drilling-bass will proceed to creep its way into your every fiber, flanked by strafing raw rhythms. This sounds bad, doesn’t it? Paradoxically, it’s not. It’s one of the best dark techno tracks I’ve heard back in 2016. It is, however, definitely not for the faint of heart, or, should I say, not for the faint of mental resistance.

I think the album’s cover fits this song perfectly. There’s a whole lot of magic alien snake skeleton venom flowing through this track. Calling this a “melody” would do it an injustice. Not because it’s not melodic, but because the word “melody” is too fluffy for this monolithic piece of dark beauty.

You can listen to the melody for free, in good quality, on SoundCloud, which is a great outlet for both emerging and established artists.

https://soundcloud.com/savoyband/05-cata-w-lobounce^

YouTube (decent quality):

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xQfPJJJUMWw^

For Spotify Users (high quality):

https://open.spotify.com/track/5SJ6KivyJRhhGr1xY6s4jX^

And what a gorgeous album cover. Totally in tune with the song!

Savoy - Self Predator
Savoy – Self Predator

[ax_meta lnimgurl=’http://mentatul.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/01559-SavoySelfPredator-Real-Thumb.jpg’ lnimgw=’250′ lnimgh=’250′ title=’Savoy – Cata (feat. LoBounce)’ desc=’The merciless drilling-bass will proceed to creep its way into your every fiber, flanked by strafing raw rhythms.’]

Does Cryptocurrency Have a Future?

The cryptocurrency craze is on! Social media websites have been swarmed by advertisers hoping to entice people to jump on the Bitcoin wagon or tempting them to invest in any of the ICOs (initial coin offerings) popping up almost on a weekly basis for various competing cryptocurrencies. It’s almost hysterical.

The Bitcoin has grown by more than 1400% in about a year. That’s a staggering development no matter who you ask. Many analysts warn that the bubble will soon burst^, but they’ve been saying this^ for months and the Bitcoin is still growing.

There are a lot of Bitcoin pessimists out there, including people that worked with blockchain technology for a long time. It’s interesting to read what this senior Bitcoin software engineer^ was saying back in January. I wonder if he still has the same opinion now when the currency has climbed this much.

I would love nothing better than to see the current financial system shaken to the core and forced to evolve. Competition is great. We’ve been abused long enough by banks using centuries-old practices and mentalities, working like packs of ruthless sharks instead of collaborators in the world we build for our children.

Increasing in value the way it does, the Bitcoin’s upcoming crash seems more inevitable with every psychological threshold it passes. And given the network’s already known weaknesses (such as long transaction confirmation times) not if but when this correction occurs, it risks bringing a lot of people to tears. Or, as an analyst put it: “it’s going to be pandemonium”.

As it crashes, the Bitcoin will drag along with it the rest of the cryptocurrency market whose growth, to be honest, is even more ridiculous than that of the Bitcoin. Just look at this insane list of one hundred different cryptocurrencies, most of which are not even more than a year or two out in the “market”:

https://techcrunch.com/2017/11/19/100-cryptocurrencies-described-in-4-words-or-less/^

The Bitcoin may survive any number of crashes and even the dents in reputation that come with such an erratic evolution. What the Bitcoin will not survive, however, is a heavy-handed regulatory crackdown that may happen if the rich & powerful 1% see it as a threat to the financial status-quo. China is already taking steps towards regulation^ and the fact that countries such as North Korea rely on Bitcoin to sponsor shady deals might bring cryptocurrencies in general under serious scrutiny. The enemies of an independent financial system are waiting for their moment to destroy this initiative.

But then again, there’s other, more devious ways to tarnish the reputation of cryptocurrencies for years to come. For example, a disastrous cryptocurrency crash that will send investors scurrying back to their comfort zones of old. Oh, how banks would love that! I wouldn’t be surprised to see banks one day investing and the next day dumping their Bitcoins faster than most people can escape the collapsing hell. It’s the little guys that usually get squashed during a market crash.

On an entirely different note, what about the environmental impact of cryptocurrency mining? Yes, there is such a thing. In a previous version of this article, I was wondering if this is a worthy question. Just weeks later, this excellent article^ showed up. BitCoin is the worst offender when it comes to wasted energy. During late 2017, mining BitCoin amounted to the output generated by anywhere from 1 to 3 nuclear reactors. All this for a currency that is backed by little more than public sentiment.

How much will cryptocurrency mining waste in the coming years? There are better things to do with our energy supplies than investing in digital currency. I want and believe in an alternative to the current financial system, but the costs at which it comes might be too great. Fortunately, alternatives to BitCoin are less wasteful, but investing too much of our resources in this digital coin rush seems reckless and even disrespectful towards our ecosystem.

Update 2017-12-14: A bit over two weeks after publishing this article, the BitCoin fever is still in full swing, with the currency having gained another massive ~20% on top of its already huge price point – all within a single week. Here’s what Reuters had to say about it:

https://www.reuters.com/article/uk-markets-bitcoin-risks-insight/bitcoin-fever-exposes-crypto-market-frailties-idUSKBN1E724X^

The risks are higher than ever. If I’d own BitCoin, I’d sell at least 75% right now.

[ax_meta lnimgurl=’http://mentatul.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/02551-DoesCryptocurrencyHaveAFuture-Thumb.jpg’ lnimgw=’250′ lnimgh=’250′ title=’Does Cryptocurrency Have a Future?’ desc=’The cryptocurrency craze is on! The Bitcoin has grown by more than 1200% in about a year.’]

Hybrid – Enjoy The Silence

Leave it to Hybrid to turn an already good song (by Depeche Mode) into a mixture of lush, rich sound with a convincing buildup and a beautiful detour that leads to a sparkling climax. This is a hybrid made up of all the goodness of electronica and the richness of the human voice. Oh, and it’s anything but silent, of course :).

“All I ever wanted
All I ever needed
Is here in my arms
Words are very unnecessary
They can only do harm
Vows are spoken
To be broken
Feelings are intense
Words are trivial
Pleasures remain
So does the pain
Words are meaningless
And forgettable”

YouTube (decent quality):

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RW-Ai2jdZR8^

For Spotify Users (high quality):

https://open.spotify.com/track/6YvRdKMzdyuD1u2oJwzlsi^

For Deezer Users (high quality):

http://www.deezer.com/track/43265751^

[ax_meta lnimgurl=’http://mentatul.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/02133-HybridClassics-Thumb.jpg’ lnimgw=’250′ lnimgh=’250′ title=’Hybrid – Enjoy The Silence’ desc=’This is a hybrid made up of all the goodness of electronica and the richness of the human voice.’]